HPQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPQ - HP Inc.
$21.93
-0.09 (-0.41%)
▼
5d:
-4.32%
30d:
-19.64%
90d:
+15.73%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HPQ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HPQ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.44
Based on -7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPQ is currently trading at $21.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.78 to $26.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.78 -
$26.25
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.91)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.78 -
$26.25
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.96
Resistance Level
$29.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.29
Wall Street Target
$22.91
(+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.2%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.35
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$22.77
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$23.20
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.98
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -19.9%)
$65.17
(+197%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: -19.9%)
$21.80
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: -19.9%)
$18.53
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.70
Bull Case
$27.00
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.5%, PE expands to 9.0
Base Case
$24.55
(+12%)
Market implied 11.5%, PE stable at 8.2
Bear Case
$14.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-06
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HPQ price and gamma walls.
