HPQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPQ - HP Inc.
$20.77
-0.49 (-2.30%)
▼
5d:
-1.05%
30d:
+8.01%
90d:
+10.07%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
11d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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4 traders called HPQ this week
75% bullish • 1 bearish
75% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HPQ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.31
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPQ is currently trading at $20.77, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.08 to $21.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HPQ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HPQ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$19.08 -
$21.22
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($19.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with 6.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.08 -
$21.22
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.37
Resistance Level
$22.78
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.98
Wall Street Target
$19.43
(-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.7%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.21
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$21.65
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$22.11
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.89
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 3.0%)
$71.62
(+245%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 3.0%)
$22.69
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 3.0%)
$19.29
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.64
Bull Case
$26.34
(+27%)
Analyst growth 12.7%, PE expands to 8.9
Base Case
$23.95
(+15%)
Market implied 12.7%, PE stable at 8.1
Bear Case
$14.46
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-06
Ketan M Patel
SELL
33321 shares
2025-12-26
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