What is the fair value of HTZ stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for HTZ to be between $4.04 and $4.53. The current price is $4.53.

What is the analyst price target for HTZ?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for HTZ is $4.33. This implies a potential upside of -3.3% from current levels.

HTZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HTZ - Hertz Global Holdings, Inc Common Stock

SERVICES-AUTO RENTAL & LEASING (NO DRIVERS)

$4.53

0.05 (1.12%) ▲

5d: +6.84%

30d: +4.62%

90d: -14.2%

BUY

MODERATE Confidence

Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 11, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

HTZ is up 21.0% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $3 2026-06-18 with 16,934 OI. Put ratio: 68% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HTZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$6.04

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$3.75

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HTZ is currently trading at $4.53, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.04 to $4.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HTZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.77, while resistance sits at $5.08.

Market Sentiment: HTZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Fair Price Range $4.04 - $4.53

Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 74.8%

All Signals

BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($4.33)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with -0.6% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $4.04 - $4.53

Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.78

Resistance Level $5.09

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.14

Wall Street Target $4.33 (-3.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -30.9%

Profit Margin -8.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.3% premium

PE vs Historical 14.1 vs 13.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $4.54 (+1%)

2-Year Target $4.60 (+3%)

3-Year Target $4.66 (+4%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→14) PE COMPRESSION $4.48 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

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Last updated: March 31, 2026 11:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced HTZ Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HTZ price and gamma walls.

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