FTAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTAI - FTAI Aviation Ltd. Common Stock
$258.95
-8.14 (-3.05%)
▼
5d:
-4.99%
30d:
-4.03%
90d:
-5.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
FTAI is down 6.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $330 2026-06-18 with 754 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FTAI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FTAI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$562.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$348.96
25.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTAI is currently trading at $258.95, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $231.75 to $267.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.4) compared to its historical average (28.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $237.00, while resistance sits at $288.70. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: FTAI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $344.00 (+32.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $237.00, while resistance sits at $288.70. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: FTAI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $344.00 (+32.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$231.75 -
$267.73
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FTAI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.8% below Wall St target ($344.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$231.75 -
$267.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$237.00
Resistance Level
$288.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.43
Wall Street Target
$344.00
(+32.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
65.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.3%
Profit Margin
18.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.4 vs 28.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$238.49
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$219.65
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$202.30
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→29)
$258.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 56.6%)
$873.96
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 56.6%)
$858.70
(+232%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 56.6%)
$729.90
(+182%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 35.34 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.33
Bull Case
$312.68
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.1
Base Case
$258.95
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.3
Bear Case
$198.10
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.4 to 28.7
Stabilization Target:
$331.31
(+27.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FTAI price and gamma walls.