HUBG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HUBG - HUB Group Inc

ARRANGEMENT OF TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT & CARGO
$47.58
-0.71 (-1.47%) β–Ό
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: HUBG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.17
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.71
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HUBG is currently trading at $47.58, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.11 to $47.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.9) compared to its historical average (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $44.11 - $47.75
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 18th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 18th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($48.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $44.11 - $47.75
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$2.13 (4.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $45.90
Resistance Level $48.89
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.89
Wall Street Target $48.00 (-0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 20.5%
Profit Margin 2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.2% premium
PE vs Historical 22.9 vs 20.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $50.32 (+4%)
2-Year Target $52.43 (+9%)
3-Year Target $54.63 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23β†’20) PE COMPRESSION $48.21 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.9, Growth: 15.2%) $73.82 (+53%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.2%) $71.91 (+49%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 15.2%) $61.13 (+27%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case $63.39 (+33%)
Analyst growth 21.2%, PE expands to 30.1
Base Case $57.62 (+21%)
Market implied 21.2%, PE stable at 27.3
Bear Case $32.32 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced HUBG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HUBG price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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