HUBG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HUBG - HUB Group Inc
$35.17
-0.21 (-0.59%)
▼
5d:
-0.4%
30d:
-18.34%
90d:
-20.0%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
23d
Get Alerted When HUBG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HUBG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.2% annual earnings decline despite 20% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HUBG appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.2% annual earnings decline despite 20% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.33
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.95
12.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HUBG is currently trading at $35.17, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.87 to $41.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (19.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $32.90, while resistance sits at $36.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.33 (+25.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBG is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $32.90, while resistance sits at $36.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.33 (+25.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$34.87 -
$41.82
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
18th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 18th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.3% below Wall St target ($44.33)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$34.87 -
$41.82
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.58
(4.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.90
Resistance Level
$36.59
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.90
Wall Street Target
$44.33
(+25.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 19.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.54
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$31.80
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$30.14
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$35.32
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.5%)
$70.44
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 14.5%)
$53.14
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 14.5%)
$45.17
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$46.20
(+31%)
Analyst growth 20.6%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case
$42.00
(+19%)
Market implied 20.6%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$23.68
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 19.8
Stabilization Target:
$41.46
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HUBG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gary Yablon
BUY
4566 shares
2025-12-11
Phillip D Yeager
SELL
32000 shares
2025-12-11
Top Rated Integrated Freight & Logistics Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Integrated Freight & Logistics by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FDX
FedEx Corporation |
BUY
32 analysts |
$400 | 57 HOLD |
|
UPS
United Parcel Service Inc |
BUY
32 analysts |
$113 | 55 HOLD |
|
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$28 | 59 HOLD |
|
JBHT
JB Hunt Transport Servic… |
BUY
26 analysts |
$211 | 57 HOLD |
|
CHRW
CH Robinson Worldwide Inc |
BUY
26 analysts |
$194 | 55 HOLD |
