HUBS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HUBS - HUBSPOT, INC.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$280.00
-1.53 (-0.54%) β–Ό
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026 10d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HUBS is down 13.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$496.17
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$308.08
9.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HUBS is currently trading at $280.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $314.72 to $395.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.6) compared to its historical average (32.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 95.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HUBS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $276.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $556.19 (+97.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $314.72 - $395.88
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 97.6% below Wall St target ($556.19)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $314.72 - $395.88
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $276.73
Resistance Level $335.29
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.57
Wall Street Target $556.19 (+97.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 95.4%
Profit Margin -0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 24.6 vs 32.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $256.76 (-9%)
2-Year Target $234.16 (-17%)
3-Year Target $213.55 (-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25β†’32) $280.71 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.6, Growth: 19.5%) $480.05 (+71%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 19.5%) $435.64 (+55%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 19.5%) $370.30 (+32%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.6 to 32.3
Stabilization Target: $370.06 (+31.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +31.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 4:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Halligan SELL 8265 shares 2025-10-21
Kathryn Bueker SELL 615 shares 2025-10-06
Yamini Rangan SELL 2387 shares 2025-10-06

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Advanced HUBS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HUBS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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