HVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HVT - Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc.

RETAIL-FURNITURE STORES
$20.81
-0.11 (-0.53%) ▼
5d: -6.26%
30d: -7.96%
90d: -19.78%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HVT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.32
31.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HVT is currently trading at $20.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.08 to $22.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HVT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.10, while resistance sits at $22.94.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.50 (+41.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $21.08 - $22.84
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 41.8% below Wall St target ($29.50)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.3% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $21.08 - $22.84
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $20.10
Resistance Level $22.94
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.05
Wall Street Target $29.50 (+41.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 13.0%
Profit Margin 2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.1 vs 9.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.54 (-6%)
2-Year Target $18.35 (-12%)
3-Year Target $17.23 (-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→10) $20.76 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 60.1%) $192.55 (+825%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 60.1%) $70.23 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 6.8, Growth: 60.1%) $59.70 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.22
Bull Case $46.02 (+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.9
Base Case $41.84 (+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case $14.23 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 9.7
Stabilization Target: $25.07 (+20.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +20.5%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:37 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rawson Haverty Jr SELL 7500 shares 2025-12-12
Rawson Haverty Jr SELL 2331 shares 2025-12-11
Rawson Haverty Jr SELL 4523 shares 2025-11-19

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