ICHR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ICHR - Ichor Holdings

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$30.34
-3.15 (-9.41%) ▼
5d: -3.44%
30d: +59.85%
90d: +28.72%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026 6d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICHR trades at premium valuation expecting 8.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.39
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.84
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ICHR is currently trading at $30.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.14 to $29.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 38.5) compared to its historical average (29.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ICHR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.61, while resistance sits at $34.37. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: ICHR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $19.14 - $29.65
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.7%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.4%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.14)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.8% growth with 13.3% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $19.14 - $29.65
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $28.61
Resistance Level $34.37
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 38.47
Wall Street Target $30.14 (-0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -6.1%
Profit Margin -4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.8% premium
PE vs Historical 38.5 vs 29.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $33.01 (+9%)
2-Year Target $35.91 (+18%)
3-Year Target $39.08 (+29%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 38→30) PE COMPRESSION $30.27 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 38.5, Growth: 363.9%) $102.40 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 363.9%) $59.35 (+96%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 363.9%) $50.45 (+66%)
Last updated: February 02, 2026 8:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Iain Mackenzie BUY 25000 shares 2025-08-07
Marc Haugen BUY 3000 shares 2025-08-07

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