ICHR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICHR - Ichor Holdings
$46.61
4.49 (10.66%)
▲
5d:
-8.88%
30d:
-4.06%
90d:
+145.32%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
ICHR is down 3.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $60 2026-05-15 with 376 OI. Call ratio: 97% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICHR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ICHR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.45
29.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICHR is currently trading at $46.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.00 to $50.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.2) compared to its historical average (27.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICHR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.58, while resistance sits at $52.90. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 10.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICHR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $41.58, while resistance sits at $52.90. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 10.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$43.00 -
$50.24
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
21th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ICHR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 21th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+10.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($50.43)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.9% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$43.00 -
$50.24
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.38
(13.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.58
Resistance Level
$52.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.20
Wall Street Target
$50.43
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.1%
Profit Margin
-5.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 27.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.83
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$39.36
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$36.18
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→27)
$46.58
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 94.5%)
$165.82
(+256%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.2, Growth: 94.5%)
$157.31
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.0, Growth: 94.5%)
$133.71
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.2 to 27.3
Stabilization Target:
$60.01
(+28.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 11:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:38 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICHR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Philip Ryan Sr. Barros
SELL
21000 shares
2026-02-26
Greg Swyt
SELL
3000 shares
2026-02-24
Bruce Ragsdale
SELL
21276 shares
2026-02-23
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Advanced ICHR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ICHR price and gamma walls.
