IDCC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IDCC - InterDigital, Inc.

PATENT OWNERS & LESSORS
$269.31
-0.90 (-0.33%) ▼
5d: -3.39%
30d: -26.32%
90d: -24.53%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IDCC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$460.02
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$285.64
5.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IDCC is currently trading at $269.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $286.12 to $367.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.9) compared to its historical average (30.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IDCC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $261.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: IDCC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $462.67 (+71.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $286.12 - $367.22
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 71.8% below Wall St target ($462.67)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $286.12 - $367.22
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $261.52
Resistance Level $305.00
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.95
Wall Street Target $462.67 (+71.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -38.0%
Profit Margin 44.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 24.0 vs 30.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $247.50 (-8%)
2-Year Target $227.45 (-16%)
3-Year Target $209.03 (-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→31) $268.76 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.0, Growth: 16.9%) $430.52 (+60%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 16.9%) $396.11 (+47%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 16.9%) $336.69 (+25%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.48
Bull Case $318.86 (+18%)
Analyst growth 7.3%, PE expands to 28.4
Base Case $289.87 (+8%)
Market implied 7.3%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case $183.74 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.0 to 30.8
Stabilization Target: $346.27 (+28.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +28.6%
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rajesh Pankaj SELL 1500 shares 2026-04-06
Joshua D Schmidt SELL 6000 shares 2026-03-17
Rajesh Pankaj SELL 1000 shares 2026-03-05

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