INGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INGR - Ingredion Incorporated
$97.62
2.00 (2.09%)
▲
5d:
+0.83%
30d:
-3.46%
90d:
-12.26%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: INGR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: INGR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.23
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$88.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INGR is currently trading at $97.62, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $97.20 to $102.18. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $97.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INGR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.83 (+25.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $97.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INGR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.83 (+25.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$97.20 -
$102.18
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($122.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$97.20 -
$102.18
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.12
Resistance Level
$105.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.41
Wall Street Target
$122.83
(+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.0%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 9.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.01
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$90.53
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$87.18
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$97.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$311.79
(+219%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 7.2%)
$120.40
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 7.2%)
$102.34
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.40
Bull Case
$117.38
(+20%)
Analyst growth 11.6%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case
$106.71
(+9%)
Market implied 11.6%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$65.02
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$109.10
(+11.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 9:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jorge A Uribe
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-31
Davida Marie Gable
SELL
375 shares
2026-03-18
James P Zallie
SELL
9958 shares
2026-02-18
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