INGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INGR - Ingredion Incorporated
$101.42
-1.20 (-1.17%)
▼
5d:
-4.5%
30d:
-12.0%
90d:
-12.92%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$146.28
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INGR is currently trading at $101.42, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.61 to $114.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $100.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.86 (+20.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $100.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.86 (+20.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$107.61 -
$114.53
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.2% below Wall St target ($121.86)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.61 -
$114.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$100.71
Resistance Level
$109.07
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.74
Wall Street Target
$121.86
(+20.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.0%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.17
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$95.03
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$91.99
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$101.07
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 7.2%)
$316.37
(+212%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 7.2%)
$125.09
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 7.2%)
$106.33
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.40
Bull Case
$125.98
(+24%)
Analyst growth 11.6%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case
$114.53
(+13%)
Market implied 11.6%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$69.78
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 9.6
Stabilization Target:
$111.42
(+9.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jorge A Uribe
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-31
Davida Marie Gable
SELL
375 shares
2026-03-18
James P Zallie
SELL
9958 shares
2026-02-18
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