IPAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IPAR - Interparfums, Inc. Common Stock
$119.39
3.73 (3.22%)
▲
5d:
+14.4%
30d:
+30.13%
90d:
+29.01%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: IPAR is 11.3% above its trading range ($107.28). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: IPAR is 11.3% above its trading range ($107.28). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$154.65
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IPAR is currently trading at $119.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.73 to $107.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.4) compared to its historical average (17.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPAR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: IPAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPAR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: IPAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$91.73 -
$107.28
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($109.33)
- BEARISH: Market expects 6.6% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.73 -
$107.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.71
Resistance Level
$97.02
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.40
Wall Street Target
$109.33
(-8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Profit Margin
11.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.6% premium
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 17.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$127.27
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$135.67
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$144.62
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$119.64
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.9%)
$184.38
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.4, Growth: 14.9%)
$181.13
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 14.9%)
$149.84
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.27
Bull Case
$134.71
(+13%)
Analyst growth 5.9%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$122.46
(+3%)
Market implied 5.9%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$78.65
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 11:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IPAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jean Madar
SELL
20000 shares
2026-04-02
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