IPAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IPAR - Interparfums, Inc. Common Stock
$86.16
-1.56 (-1.78%)
▼
5d:
-8.81%
30d:
-8.37%
90d:
-15.73%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IPAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IPAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$154.27
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$95.79
10.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IPAR is currently trading at $86.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.43 to $95.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.5) compared to its historical average (17.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPAR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $85.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IPAR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.20 (+26.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IPAR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $85.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: IPAR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.20 (+26.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$89.43 -
$95.01
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($109.20)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.43 -
$95.01
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.62
Resistance Level
$97.12
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.50
Wall Street Target
$109.20
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Profit Margin
11.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 17.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.37
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$78.74
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$75.28
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$86.47
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.7%)
$185.17
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 14.7%)
$130.02
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 14.7%)
$110.52
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.27
Bull Case
$101.80
(+18%)
Analyst growth 5.5%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case
$92.55
(+7%)
Market implied 5.5%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$59.65
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 17.8
Stabilization Target:
$98.97
(+14.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 8:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is IPAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jean Madar
SELL
20000 shares
2026-04-02
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