ITRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRN - Ituran Location and Control Ltd.
$57.18
-1.65 (-2.80%)
▼
5d:
-6.15%
30d:
+4.12%
90d:
+20.53%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 26, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ITRN is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ITRN is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$82.32
Based on 9.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$51.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRN is currently trading at $57.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.78 to $59.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.50 (+11.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $57.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.50 (+11.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$54.78 -
$59.04
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($63.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.78 -
$59.04
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.01
Resistance Level
$62.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.78
Wall Street Target
$63.50
(+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.44
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$59.72
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$61.04
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$57.01
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.2%)
$127.07
(+122%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 14.2%)
$85.07
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 14.2%)
$72.31
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.92
Bull Case
$85.77
(+50%)
Analyst growth 32.5%, PE expands to 22.2
Base Case
$77.97
(+36%)
Market implied 32.5%, PE stable at 20.2
Bear Case
$40.00
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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