ITRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ITRN - Ituran Location and Control Ltd.
$57.14
-3.71 (-6.10%)
▼
5d:
-8.02%
30d:
-13.91%
90d:
+12.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ITRN is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ITRN is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.35
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ITRN is currently trading at $57.14, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.50 to $65.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $56.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.50 (+28.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ITRN is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $56.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.50 (+28.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$61.50 -
$65.86
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 28.6% below Wall St target ($73.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$61.50 -
$65.86
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.79
Resistance Level
$65.95
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.57
Wall Street Target
$73.50
(+28.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.51
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$59.92
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$61.35
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$57.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.1%)
$87.57
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 3.1%)
$62.60
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 3.1%)
$53.21
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.04
Bull Case
$80.81
(+41%)
Analyst growth 20.7%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case
$73.46
(+29%)
Market implied 20.7%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$41.38
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ITRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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