IVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IVT - InvenTrust Properties Corp.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$29.39
0.44 (1.52%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026 7d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IVT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.22
Based on -39.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.14
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IVT is currently trading at $29.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.31 to $29.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 117.6) is in line with its historical norms (114.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IVT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $28.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $28.31 - $29.08
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 48th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 48th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $28.31 - $29.08
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.62 (5.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $28.51
Resistance Level $29.66
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 117.56
Wall Street Target $32.00 (+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 6050.3%
Profit Margin 40.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.9% premium
PE vs Historical 117.6 vs 114.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $29.65 (+1%)
2-Year Target $29.92 (+2%)
3-Year Target $30.19 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 118→114) PE COMPRESSION $29.38 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 117.6, Growth: -82.5%) $21.43 (+-27%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -82.5%) $4.06 (-86%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -82.5%) $3.45 (-88%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.52
Bull Case $15.71 (-47%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case $14.28 (-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case $19.42 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 8:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:18 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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