JBL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

JBL - Jabil Inc.

PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARDS
$344.69
-9.65 (-2.72%) ▼
5d: -2.95%
30d: +11.15%
90d: +35.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your JBL Gains
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 16, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

JBL is down 4.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $470 2026-06-18 with 495 OI. Call ratio: 70% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JBL trades at premium valuation expecting 7.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$480.07
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$298.08
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: JBL is currently trading at $344.69, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $299.99 to $352.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.3) compared to its historical average (19.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, JBL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $335.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $311.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $299.99 - $352.25
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 12.2% above Wall St target ($311.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.2% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $299.99 - $352.25
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $335.15
Resistance Level $372.37
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.33
Wall Street Target $311.00 (-12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 96.2%
Profit Margin 2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.2% premium
PE vs Historical 24.3 vs 19.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $379.85 (+7%)
2-Year Target $407.20 (+15%)
3-Year Target $436.52 (+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→20) PE COMPRESSION $353.49 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.3, Growth: 17.9%) $580.95 (+64%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 17.9%) $526.33 (+49%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 17.9%) $447.38 (+26%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.43
Bull Case $766.46 (+116%)
Analyst growth 96.0%, PE expands to 52.6
Base Case $696.78 (+97%)
Market implied 96.0%, PE stable at 47.8
Bear Case $241.69 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:00 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
19
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew Priestley SELL 3169 shares 2026-04-20
Steven D Borges SELL 5126 shares 2026-04-17
May Yee Yap SELL 1634 shares 2026-04-16

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Advanced JBL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JBL price and gamma walls.

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