JBTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

JBTM - JBT Marel Corporation

SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY (NO METALWORKING MACHINERY)
$125.15
-0.62 (-0.49%) β–Ό
5d: -10.25%
30d: -2.67%
90d: -23.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: JBTM is down 10.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$242.91
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$150.83
17.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: JBTM is currently trading at $125.15, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $123.13 to $134.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.4) compared to its historical average (17.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, JBTM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $113.67, while resistance sits at $142.03.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $184.50 (+46.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $123.13 - $134.43
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 46.7% below Wall St target ($184.50)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $123.13 - $134.43
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $113.67
Resistance Level $142.03
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.42
Wall Street Target $184.50 (+46.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 5.0%
Profit Margin 4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.4 vs 17.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $115.71 (-8%)
2-Year Target $106.45 (-15%)
3-Year Target $97.94 (-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13β†’17) $125.50 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 13.2%) $299.93 (+139%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 13.2%) $182.66 (+45%)
Bear: (PE: 11.4, Growth: 13.2%) $155.26 (+24%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.25
Bull Case $275.26 (+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.4
Base Case $250.24 (+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.5
Bear Case $85.08 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.4 to 17.2
Stabilization Target: $161.16 (+28.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +28.1%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:38 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian A Deck SELL 8634 shares 2026-03-03
Brian A Deck SELL 10000 shares 2026-03-02
Olafur S Gudmundsson SELL 10000 shares 2025-12-10

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