JILL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JILL - J.Jill, Inc. Common Stock
$16.49
0.14 (0.86%)
▲
5d:
+9.28%
30d:
+23.71%
90d:
+46.19%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JILL trades at premium valuation expecting 5.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: JILL trades at premium valuation expecting 5.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.67
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JILL is currently trading at $16.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.13 to $15.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 6.0) compared to its historical average (5.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JILL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JILL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.13 -
$15.44
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($15.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.6% growth with -6.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.13 -
$15.44
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.43
Resistance Level
$14.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.98
Wall Street Target
$15.50
(-6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.2%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.6% premium
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 5.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.41
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$18.39
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$19.42
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.55
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.2%)
$99.08
(+501%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 18.2%)
$27.22
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 18.2%)
$23.14
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.37
Bull Case
$35.97
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$32.70
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$11.12
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JILL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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