JILL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JILL - J.Jill, Inc. Common Stock
$13.48
0.58 (4.54%)
▲
5d:
+8.67%
30d:
+11.36%
90d:
-19.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 10, 2026
Get Alerted When JILL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JILL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JILL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.67
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.70
8.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JILL is currently trading at $13.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.63 to $13.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.7) is in line with its historical norms (5.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: JILL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JILL is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: JILL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+12.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.63 -
$13.25
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.63 -
$13.25
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.02
Resistance Level
$13.55
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.68
Wall Street Target
$14.50
(+12.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.7 vs 5.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.50
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$12.13
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$11.76
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$12.83
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 18.2%)
$99.81
(+674%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.7, Growth: 18.2%)
$21.28
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 18.2%)
$18.09
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.82
Bull Case
$20.72
(+61%)
Analyst growth 51.4%, PE expands to 7.5
Base Case
$18.84
(+46%)
Market implied 51.4%, PE stable at 6.8
Bear Case
$8.46
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.7 to 5.1
Stabilization Target:
$14.06
(+9.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 08, 2026 1:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is JILL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Apparel Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc. |
BUY
36 analysts |
$181 | 57 HOLD |
|
TJX
The TJX Companies Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$172 | 57 HOLD |
|
BURL
Burlington Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$371 | 55 HOLD |
|
ROST
Ross Stores Inc |
BUY
22 analysts |
$234 | 61 BUY |
|
BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$236 | 54 HOLD |
