JOUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$46.85
0.05 (0.11%)
▲
5d:
+1.94%
30d:
-3.38%
90d:
+6.99%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JOUT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.9% annual earnings decline despite 373% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JOUT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.9% annual earnings decline despite 373% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.87
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.57
35.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $46.85, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.48 to $49.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.3) compared to its historical average (24.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 373.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.65, while resistance sits at $48.41.
Market Sentiment: JOUT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $42.65, while resistance sits at $48.41.
Market Sentiment: JOUT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$44.48 -
$49.28
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($55.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$44.48 -
$49.28
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.65
Resistance Level
$48.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.34
Wall Street Target
$55.00
(+17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
373.1%
Profit Margin
-3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 24.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.10
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$39.70
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$36.56
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→25)
$46.89
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 110.4%)
$182.95
(+291%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 110.4%)
$157.95
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 110.4%)
$134.26
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.3 to 24.8
Stabilization Target:
$60.02
(+28.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Casey Sheahan
SELL
7580 shares
2026-02-23
Edward F Lang
SELL
2000 shares
2025-12-17
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