JOUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$45.39
0.50 (1.11%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JOUT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JOUT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$116.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.25
37.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $45.39, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.63 to $45.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (29.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 373.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.77, while resistance sits at $47.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.00 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $43.77, while resistance sits at $47.75.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.00 (+15.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$43.63 -
$45.66
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($52.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$43.63 -
$45.66
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.78
Resistance Level
$47.75
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.78
Wall Street Target
$52.00
(+15.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
373.1%
Profit Margin
-5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 29.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.40
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$36.36
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$32.72
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→30)
$52.10
(+16%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 127.6%)
$179.88
(+301%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 127.6%)
$151.50
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 127.6%)
$128.78
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 29.9
Stabilization Target:
$71.46
(+59.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+59.2%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced JOUT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JOUT price and gamma walls.