JOYY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOYY - JOYY Inc. American Depositary Shares
$64.35
-2.06 (-3.10%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JOYY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: JOYY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.43
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.77
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOYY is currently trading at $64.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.37 to $69.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOYY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.64 (+19.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOYY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (16th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.64 (+19.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$65.37 -
$69.28
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
16th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JOYY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 16th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($76.64)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.3% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$65.37 -
$69.28
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.50
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.00
Resistance Level
$70.66
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.49
Wall Street Target
$76.64
(+19.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.2%
Profit Margin
83.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.00
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$61.68
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$60.38
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$64.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.0%)
$157.38
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 8.0%)
$81.06
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 8.0%)
$68.90
(+7%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$68.35
(+6.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.2%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 3:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 AM
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Advanced JOYY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JOYY price and gamma walls.
