JRSH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

JRSH - Jerash Holdings (US), Inc. Common Stock

APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL
$3.75
0.29 (8.38%) ▲
5d: +7.45%
30d: +13.29%
90d: +22.95%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 15, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JRSH trades at premium valuation expecting 6.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.77
0.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: JRSH is currently trading at $3.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.27 to $3.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, JRSH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: JRSH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.50 (+20.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $3.27 - $3.52
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation MODERATE
Confidence Score 58.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.5% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($4.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.4% growth with 18.0% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.27 - $3.52
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.28
Resistance Level $3.63
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.87
Wall Street Target $4.50 (+20.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -27.3%
Profit Margin 1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.4% premium
PE vs Historical 9.9 vs 8.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.99 (+6%)
2-Year Target $4.25 (+13%)
3-Year Target $4.52 (+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→8) PE COMPRESSION $3.75 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 153.3%) $27.93 (+645%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 153.3%) $12.66 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 8.2, Growth: 153.3%) $10.52 (+180%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.14
Bull Case $7.61 (+103%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.2
Base Case $6.92 (+85%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.7
Bear Case $2.35 (-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 15, 2026 10:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert K Lee SELL 400 shares 2026-04-21

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