JRVR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JRVR - James River Group Holdings, Ltd
$6.77
-0.05 (-0.73%)
▼
5d:
+2.89%
30d:
+9.9%
90d:
+32.75%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 02, 2026
26d
Get Alerted When JRVR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JRVR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: JRVR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.25
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.50
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JRVR is currently trading at $6.77, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.29 to $6.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.7) is in line with its historical norms (5.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JRVR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JRVR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$6.29 -
$6.74
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
37th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 37th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($7.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.2% growth with -9.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$6.29 -
$6.74
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.75
(11.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.51
Resistance Level
$6.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.70
Wall Street Target
$7.33
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.3%
Profit Margin
-7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 5.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.97
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$7.12
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$7.28
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.77
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 1.4%)
$27.81
(+308%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: 1.4%)
$7.10
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: 1.4%)
$6.04
(-12%)
Last updated: February 03, 2026 10:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is JRVR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Featured in Portfolios
JRVR is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Insurance - Specialty Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance - Specialty by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RYAN
Ryan Specialty Group Hol… |
BUY
13 analysts |
$64 | 46 HOLD |
|
AXS
AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd |
BUY
9 analysts |
$122 | 60 HOLD |
|
ESNT
Essent Group Ltd |
BUY
8 analysts |
$69 | 62 BUY |
|
NMIH
NMI Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$45 | 56 HOLD |
|
RDN
Radian Group Inc |
BUY
6 analysts |
$39 | 55 HOLD |
