KAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KAI - Kadant Inc.
$322.40
-6.70 (-2.04%)
▼
5d:
-5.34%
30d:
-0.76%
90d:
-3.34%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KAI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KAI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$498.10
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$309.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KAI is currently trading at $322.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $301.31 to $333.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.8) is in line with its historical norms (27.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KAI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $278.23, while resistance sits at $352.74.
Market Sentiment: KAI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KAI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $278.23, while resistance sits at $352.74.
Market Sentiment: KAI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$301.31 -
$333.70
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($342.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$301.31 -
$333.70
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$278.23
Resistance Level
$352.74
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.78
Wall Street Target
$342.00
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.8 vs 27.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$313.05
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$303.97
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$295.16
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→27)
$322.84
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$476.33
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 13.9%)
$423.73
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 13.9%)
$360.17
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.75
Bull Case
$538.36
(+67%)
Analyst growth 48.7%, PE expands to 41.4
Base Case
$489.42
(+52%)
Market implied 48.7%, PE stable at 37.6
Bear Case
$223.79
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.8 to 27.1
Stabilization Target:
$352.64
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is KAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Erin L Russell
SELL
1435 shares
2025-11-25
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