KAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KAR - OPENLANE, Inc
$30.80
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+4.71%
30d:
+25.03%
90d:
+9.71%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Dec 24, 2025 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KAR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.01
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.09
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KAR is currently trading at $30.80, which is considered fair based on recent price action. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.6) compared to its historical average (19.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KAR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KAR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KAR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
UNKNOWN
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.81)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.86
Resistance Level
$30.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Dec 24, 2025
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.56
Wall Street Target
$31.81
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
108.3%
Profit Margin
9.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 19.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.12
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$33.50
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$34.94
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.6, Growth: 14.4%)
$46.10
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.4%)
$47.95
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 14.4%)
$40.62
(+32%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 4:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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