KBDC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KBDC - Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc.
$14.03
-0.49 (-3.37%)
▼
5d:
-3.37%
30d:
-5.01%
90d:
+2.56%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KBDC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KBDC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.13
Based on 0.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KBDC is currently trading at $14.03, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.40 to $14.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBDC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: KBDC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBDC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: KBDC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.40 -
$14.90
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.40 -
$14.90
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.15
Resistance Level
$15.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.12
Wall Street Target
$15.40
(+6.1%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.51
(0%)
2-Year Target
$14.49
(0%)
3-Year Target
$14.48
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.44
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -2.2%)
$32.64
(+125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: -2.2%)
$13.58
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: -2.2%)
$11.54
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$19.77
(+36%)
Analyst growth 24.4%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$17.97
(+24%)
Market implied 24.4%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$9.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 5:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:01 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is KBDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
George E Marucci Jr
BUY
9000 shares
2026-03-06
George E Marucci Jr
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-04
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