Is KBH stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, KBH is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: KBH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of KBH stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for KBH to be between $56.50 and $60.81. The current price is $57.54.

What is the analyst price target for KBH?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for KBH is $61.18. This implies a potential upside of 5.9% from current levels.

KBH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KBH - KB Home

OPERATIVE BUILDERS

$57.54

-0.24 (-0.42%) ▼

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Mar 25, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KBH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$109.73

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$68.13

15.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KBH is currently trading at $57.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.50 to $60.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KBH is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $56.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: KBH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Fair Price Range $56.50 - $60.81

Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 55.7%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($61.18)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with -15.3% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $56.50 - $60.81

Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $56.00

Resistance Level $62.84

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.46

Wall Street Target $61.18 (+5.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -15.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -38.4%

Profit Margin 6.9%

Valuation Premium vs History +0.8% premium

PE vs Historical 10.5 vs 10.2 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $58.24 (+1%)

2-Year Target $58.71 (+2%)

3-Year Target $59.18 (+2%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→10) PE COMPRESSION $57.71 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 31.5%) $279.93 (+385%)

Base: (SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 31.5%) $131.29 (+127%)

Bear: (PE: 8.9, Growth: 31.5%) $111.60 (+93%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 9.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.15

Bull Case $56.87 (-2%)

Analyst growth -10.2%, PE expands to 10.3

Base Case $51.70 (-11%)

Market implied -10.2%, PE stable at 9.4

Bear Case $39.14 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced KBH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KBH price and gamma walls.

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