KBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KBR - KBR, Inc.
$42.81
-0.42 (-0.97%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KBR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.56
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.88
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KBR is currently trading at $42.81, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.98 to $44.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.78 (+26.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KBR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.78 (+26.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$40.98 -
$44.43
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($54.78)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$40.98 -
$44.43
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.16
Resistance Level
$45.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.64
Wall Street Target
$54.78
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.53
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$43.84
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$44.14
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.5%)
$109.53
(+153%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 6.5%)
$52.27
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 6.5%)
$44.43
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.19
Bull Case
$60.45
(+40%)
Analyst growth 27.3%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$54.95
(+27%)
Market implied 27.3%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$29.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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