KBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KBR - KBR, Inc.

HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS
$38.05
0.53 (1.41%) β–²
5d: +1.39%
30d: -6.12%
90d: -5.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: KBR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.7% annual earnings decline despite 52% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.40
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.40
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KBR is currently trading at $38.05, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.71 to $40.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 52.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KBR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $38.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: KBR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.22 (+39.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $36.71 - $40.78
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.9% below Wall St target ($53.22)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $36.71 - $40.78
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $35.62
Resistance Level $38.70
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.89
Wall Street Target $53.22 (+39.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 52.4%
Profit Margin 5.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.9 vs 10.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.64 (-4%)
2-Year Target $35.29 (-7%)
3-Year Target $33.98 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9β†’10) $38.22 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 6.6%) $106.71 (+180%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 6.6%) $46.12 (+21%)
Bear: (PE: 7.6, Growth: 6.6%) $39.20 (+3%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.49
Bull Case $50.40 (+33%)
Analyst growth 22.9%, PE expands to 11.8
Base Case $45.82 (+21%)
Market implied 22.9%, PE stable at 10.7
Bear Case $25.36 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 10.0
Stabilization Target: $42.80 (+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.5%
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Last updated: April 03, 2026 12:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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