KNOP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNOP - KNOT OFFSHORE PARTNERS LP
$10.88
0.10 (0.93%)
▲
5d:
-1.45%
30d:
+6.46%
90d:
+5.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KNOP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KNOP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.88
Based on -22.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNOP is currently trading at $10.88, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.13 to $11.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNOP is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+33.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNOP is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+33.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$10.13 -
$11.04
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.3% below Wall St target ($14.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 12.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.13 -
$11.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.69
Resistance Level
$11.55
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.13
Wall Street Target
$14.50
(+33.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.0%
Profit Margin
6.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.8% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 9.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.27
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$13.84
(+27%)
3-Year Target
$15.62
(+44%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.83
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -48.0%)
$12.37
(+14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: -48.0%)
$7.93
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: -48.0%)
$5.50
(-49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$19.06
(+75%)
Analyst growth 60.4%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case
$17.32
(+59%)
Market implied 60.4%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$7.34
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 7:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNOP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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