KRP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRP - Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$15.44
0.14 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
+6.12%
30d:
+6.85%
90d:
+9.66%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KRP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KRP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.30
Based on -10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRP is currently trading at $15.44, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.32 to $15.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.5) is in line with its historical norms (21.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.75 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KRP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.75 (+21.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.32 -
$15.19
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($18.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.32 -
$15.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.07
Resistance Level
$15.65
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.50
Wall Street Target
$18.75
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.9%
Profit Margin
23.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 21.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.19
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$14.95
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$14.71
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$15.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -23.9%)
$12.12
(+-22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.5, Growth: -23.9%)
$11.26
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.4, Growth: -23.9%)
$9.57
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$27.59
(+79%)
Analyst growth 63.8%, PE expands to 36.6
Base Case
$25.08
(+62%)
Market implied 63.8%, PE stable at 33.3
Bear Case
$10.41
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.5 to 21.5
Stabilization Target:
$16.20
(+4.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Blayne Rhynsburger
SELL
6609 shares
2026-03-23
August Pfluger
BUY
2026-03-13
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