KTB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KTB - Kontoor Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$63.68
-1.55 (-2.38%)
▼
5d:
-18.43%
30d:
-11.52%
90d:
-5.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
KTB is down 13.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $70 2026-06-18 with 53 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: KTB is down 18.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: KTB is down 18.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$123.00
Based on 12.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.37
16.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KTB is currently trading at $63.68, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.59 to $75.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 117.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KTB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.67 (+45.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KTB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $64.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.67 (+45.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$69.59 -
$75.77
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KTB? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.5% below Wall St target ($92.67)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.59 -
$75.77
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.25
Resistance Level
$84.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.81
Wall Street Target
$92.67
(+45.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
117.2%
Profit Margin
8.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.15
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$60.66
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$59.20
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$63.37
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 21.4%)
$255.74
(+302%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 21.4%)
$113.83
(+79%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 21.4%)
$96.76
(+52%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.05
Bull Case
$115.00
(+81%)
Analyst growth 60.3%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case
$104.55
(+64%)
Market implied 60.3%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$44.36
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$68.16
(+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KTB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KTB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KTB price and gamma walls.
