LCII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LCII - LCI Industries
$121.57
0.22 (0.18%)
▲
5d:
+0.16%
30d:
-8.73%
90d:
-1.73%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LCII appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.2% annual earnings decline despite 104% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LCII appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.2% annual earnings decline despite 104% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$236.26
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.70
17.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LCII is currently trading at $121.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $121.13 to $137.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 104.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $116.64, while resistance sits at $126.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.40 (+32.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LCII is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $116.64, while resistance sits at $126.70.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $160.40 (+32.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$121.13 -
$137.24
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.2% below Wall St target ($160.40)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$121.13 -
$137.24
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.74
(4.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.64
Resistance Level
$126.71
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.06
Wall Street Target
$160.40
(+32.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
104.2%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 15.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.61
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$104.50
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$96.98
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$121.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.6%)
$338.86
(+179%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 14.6%)
$182.48
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 14.6%)
$155.11
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.57
Bull Case
$171.43
(+41%)
Analyst growth 32.7%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$155.84
(+28%)
Market implied 32.7%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$79.89
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$151.91
(+25.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 12:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LCII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-24
Jamie Schnur
SELL
10000 shares
2026-02-23
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30000 shares
2026-02-23
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