LFUS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LFUS - Littelfuse Inc
$418.47
-21.92 (-4.98%)
▼
5d:
-12.31%
30d:
-14.23%
90d:
+21.11%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LFUS is down 12.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LFUS is down 12.3% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$676.85
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$420.27
0.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LFUS is currently trading at $418.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $449.65 to $481.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.2) is in line with its historical norms (23.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LFUS is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $411.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $486.25 (+16.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LFUS is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $411.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $486.25 (+16.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$449.65 -
$481.19
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($486.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.3% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$449.65 -
$481.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$411.63
Resistance Level
$492.58
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.24
Wall Street Target
$486.25
(+16.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.1%
Profit Margin
-1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
24.2 vs 23.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$420.56
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$422.67
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$424.78
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$418.85
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.2, Growth: 17.0%)
$669.74
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.0%)
$601.82
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 17.0%)
$511.55
(+22%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LFUS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kristina A Cerniglia
SELL
2343 shares
2026-02-24
Gordon Hunter
SELL
911 shares
2026-02-20
Anthony Grillo
SELL
5000 shares
2026-02-10
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