LGN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LGN - Legence Corp. Class A Common stock

Construction - Special Trade Contractors
$46.91
-4.66 (-9.04%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 31, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LGN is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.93
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LGN is currently trading at $46.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.92 to $49.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 40.0) is in line with its historical norms (39.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LGN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: LGN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $43.92 - $49.13
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.0%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($49.18)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $43.92 - $49.13
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $46.46
Resistance Level $52.74
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 40.04
Wall Street Target $49.18 (-4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 26.2%
Profit Margin -1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.7% premium
PE vs Historical 40.0 vs 39.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $51.93 (+1%)
2-Year Target $52.29 (+1%)
3-Year Target $52.66 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 40→39) PE COMPRESSION $51.55 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 40.0, Growth: 2415.4%) $174.05 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 2415.4%) $96.93 (+88%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 2415.4%) $82.39 (+60%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 PM
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