LQDT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LQDT - Liquidity Services, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$34.43
0.23 (0.67%) โ–ฒ
5d: +4.46%
30d: -0.09%
90d: +12.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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๐Ÿ’ก
Bottom Line:
๐Ÿ’ก BUY OPPORTUNITY: LQDT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction โ†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.60
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.97
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LQDT is currently trading at $34.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.47 to $35.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.5) is in line with its historical norms (21.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LQDT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.79, while resistance sits at $36.35.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.00 (+27.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $33.47 - $35.80
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 27.8% below Wall St target ($44.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $33.47 - $35.80
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.79
Resistance Level $36.35
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.50
Wall Street Target $44.00 (+27.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 4.5%
Profit Margin 6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.6% premium
PE vs Historical 22.5 vs 21.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $34.98 (+2%)
2-Year Target $35.54 (+3%)
3-Year Target $36.11 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23โ†’21) PE COMPRESSION $34.34 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.5, Growth: 2.7%) $37.28 (+8%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 2.7%) $36.43 (+6%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 2.7%) $30.96 (-10%)
๐Ÿ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case $62.56 (+82%)
Analyst growth 66.3%, PE expands to 40.9
Base Case $56.88 (+65%)
Market implied 66.3%, PE stable at 37.2
Bear Case $23.26 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 23, 2026 1:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:08 AM
๐Ÿ”ฅ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Daunt SELL 2600 shares 2026-04-14
Steven Weiskircher SELL 4967 shares 2026-03-06
Jaime Mateus-Tique SELL 12939 shares 2026-02-10

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