LTH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LTH - Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-MEMBERSHIP SPORTS & RECREATION CLUBS
$25.97
0.02 (0.10%) β–²
5d: -1.87%
30d: -3.83%
90d: -2.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

LTH is down 3.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-04-17 with 270 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: LTH appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.9% annual earnings decline despite 220% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.20
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.55
15.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LTH is currently trading at $25.96, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.71 to $27.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 220.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LTH is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $25.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: LTH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.00 (+54.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $25.71 - $27.90
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 54.2% below Wall St target ($40.00)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $25.71 - $27.90
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $25.49
Resistance Level $27.04
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.61
Wall Street Target $40.00 (+54.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 220.0%
Profit Margin 12.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.6 vs 16.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $24.41 (-6%)
2-Year Target $22.97 (-12%)
3-Year Target $21.61 (-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14β†’16) $25.89 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.4%) $65.59 (+153%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 15.4%) $39.84 (+54%)
Bear: (PE: 11.6, Growth: 15.4%) $33.87 (+31%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.66
Bull Case $32.52 (+23%)
Analyst growth 14.3%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case $29.56 (+12%)
Market implied 14.3%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case $17.58 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 16.3
Stabilization Target: $31.07 (+19.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +19.8%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Parham Javaheri SELL 11060 shares 2026-03-13
Erik Weaver SELL 1329 shares 2026-03-03
Erik Weaver SELL 1493 shares 2026-02-03

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Advanced LTH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LTH price and gamma walls.

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