LTH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTH - Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.
$29.17
-0.17 (-0.58%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LTH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LTH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.00
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.11
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTH is currently trading at $29.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.70 to $28.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LTH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.36 (+37.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTH is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LTH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.36 (+37.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$26.70 -
$28.76
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.6% below Wall St target ($40.36)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.70 -
$28.76
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.31
Resistance Level
$29.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.35
Wall Street Target
$40.36
(+37.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
136.8%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.25
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$31.19
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$32.15
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.27
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.9%)
$42.36
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 5.9%)
$34.85
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 5.9%)
$29.62
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.28
Bull Case
$39.80
(+36%)
Analyst growth 24.9%, PE expands to 24.9
Base Case
$36.18
(+24%)
Market implied 24.9%, PE stable at 22.6
Bear Case
$19.69
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Erik Weaver
SELL
4846 shares
2025-10-13
John G Danhakl
SELL
4991976 shares
2025-09-11
John Kristofer Galashan
SELL
4991976 shares
2025-09-11
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