LTRX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTRX - Lantronix Inc
$5.04
-0.35 (-6.49%)
▼
5d:
-11.58%
30d:
-15.72%
90d:
-13.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
LTRX is down 10.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $7.5 2026-06-18 with 3,767 OI. Call ratio: 98% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LTRX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LTRX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.28
39.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTRX is currently trading at $5.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.64 to $6.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (20.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTRX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: LTRX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.12 (+69.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTRX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: LTRX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.12 (+69.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$5.64 -
$6.22
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
54th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 54th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 69.3% below Wall St target ($9.12)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.6%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.64 -
$6.22
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.66
(13.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.07
Resistance Level
$6.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.46
Wall Street Target
$9.13
(+69.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.5%
Profit Margin
-7.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 20.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.98
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$4.60
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$4.25
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→21)
$5.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 95.5%)
$24.76
(+359%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 95.5%)
$18.19
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 95.5%)
$15.46
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 20.9
Stabilization Target:
$6.84
(+27.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTRX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mathi Gurusamy
SELL
14467 shares
2026-03-13
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