LUCK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LUCK - Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation
$8.10
-0.08 (-0.98%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LUCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LUCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.51
Based on -7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.42
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LUCK is currently trading at $8.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.47 to $9.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.0) is in line with its historical norms (25.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LUCK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (11th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+85.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LUCK is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (11th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+85.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$8.47 -
$9.11
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
11th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LUCK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 11th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 85.2% below Wall St target ($15.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.4% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$8.47 -
$9.11
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.62
(7.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.91
Resistance Level
$9.33
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.00
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+85.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.8%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.0 vs 25.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.94
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$7.78
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$7.62
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→26)
$8.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.0, Growth: -19.6%)
$5.90
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -19.6%)
$5.49
(-32%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -19.6%)
$4.66
(-42%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.0 to 25.5
Stabilization Target:
$8.61
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LUCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Robert M Lavan
BUY
174 shares
2025-09-12
Lev Ekster
BUY
2505 shares
2025-09-05
Robert M Lavan
BUY
2500 shares
2025-09-05
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Advanced LUCK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LUCK price and gamma walls.