LXFR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LXFR - Luxfer Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares
$17.14
-0.80 (-4.46%)
▼
5d:
-8.54%
30d:
-2.39%
90d:
+40.26%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LXFR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LXFR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.22
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.38
11.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LXFR is currently trading at $17.14, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.15 to $18.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.34, while resistance sits at $18.41. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.50 (+19.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.34, while resistance sits at $18.41. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.50 (+19.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.15 -
$18.47
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with -13.5% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.15 -
$18.47
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.34
Resistance Level
$18.41
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.11
Wall Street Target
$20.50
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.7%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.48
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$17.83
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$18.19
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.7%)
$59.72
(+248%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 24.7%)
$33.21
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 24.7%)
$28.23
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$39.47
(+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.0
Base Case
$35.88
(+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.7
Bear Case
$12.20
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LXFR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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