LXFR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LXFR - Luxfer Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares
$15.47
-0.17 (-1.09%)
▼
5d:
-0.64%
30d:
+21.62%
90d:
-0.96%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LXFR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LXFR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.93
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.96
13.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LXFR is currently trading at $15.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.95 to $15.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.73, while resistance sits at $16.00.
Market Sentiment: LXFR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+22.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.73, while resistance sits at $16.00.
Market Sentiment: LXFR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+22.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.95 -
$15.33
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.8% below Wall St target ($19.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.95 -
$15.33
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.73
Resistance Level
$16.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.67
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(+22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.7%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.24
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$15.01
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$14.78
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$15.52
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 20.8%)
$56.46
(+265%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 20.8%)
$27.29
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 20.8%)
$23.20
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$34.36
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 40.9
Base Case
$31.24
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.2
Bear Case
$10.62
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$16.24
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 3:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LXFR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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