LYTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYTS - LSI Industries Inc
$23.26
0.67 (2.97%)
▲
5d:
-0.26%
30d:
+2.6%
90d:
+8.84%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LYTS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LYTS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.65
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYTS is currently trading at $23.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.85 to $24.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.7) compared to its historical average (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.00, while resistance sits at $24.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.50 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYTS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.00, while resistance sits at $24.99.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.50 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$20.85 -
$24.26
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.1% below Wall St target ($30.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.8% growth with 13.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.85 -
$24.26
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.00
Resistance Level
$24.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.73
Wall Street Target
$30.50
(+31.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.6%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.14
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$25.06
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$26.01
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.32
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 12.1%)
$43.05
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 12.1%)
$32.76
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 12.1%)
$27.85
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$47.32
(+103%)
Analyst growth 90.4%, PE expands to 34.0
Base Case
$43.01
(+85%)
Market implied 90.4%, PE stable at 31.0
Bear Case
$15.36
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 11:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LYTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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