MAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MAX - MediaAlpha, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$10.23
-0.01 (-0.10%) β–Ό
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026 21d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: MAX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.43
Based on -6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.61
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MAX is currently trading at $10.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.11 to $12.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.5) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 52.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MAX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $10.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.93 (+55.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $11.11 - $12.60
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 55.7% below Wall St target ($15.93)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.4% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $11.11 - $12.60
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.03
Resistance Level $11.59
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.54
Wall Street Target $15.93 (+55.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 52.9%
Profit Margin -0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.5 vs 7.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.09 (-1%)
2-Year Target $9.95 (-3%)
3-Year Target $9.81 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8β†’8) $10.27 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -17.5%) $22.05 (+116%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: -17.5%) $7.46 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 6.4, Growth: -17.5%) $6.34 (-38%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 7.9
Stabilization Target: $10.72 (+4.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.8%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:49 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kathy P Vrabeck BUY 31000 shares 2025-08-12
Keith Cramer SELL 20000 shares 2025-08-12
Keith Cramer SELL 4753 shares 2025-08-11

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Advanced MAX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MAX price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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