MBUU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBUU - Malibu Boats, Inc. Class A
$25.92
-0.08 (-0.31%)
▼
5d:
-3.57%
30d:
-5.3%
90d:
-10.47%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MBUU shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MBUU shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.09
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.21
24.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBUU is currently trading at $25.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.30 to $28.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $24.93, while resistance sits at $27.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.22 (+35.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBUU is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $24.93, while resistance sits at $27.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.22 (+35.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$25.30 -
$28.96
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.9% below Wall St target ($35.22)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$25.30 -
$28.96
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.79
(6.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.93
Resistance Level
$27.81
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.64
Wall Street Target
$35.22
(+35.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.3%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.14
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$24.39
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$23.66
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$25.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 56.5%)
$154.63
(+497%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 56.5%)
$87.48
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 56.5%)
$74.36
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$55.46
(+111%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.5
Base Case
$50.42
(+92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.1
Bear Case
$17.14
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$28.29
(+9.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 11:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBUU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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