MCFT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCFT - MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$21.53
0.51 (2.43%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
Get Alerted When MCFT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MCFT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MCFT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.97
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.33
3.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCFT is currently trading at $21.53, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.68 to $22.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCFT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.53, while resistance sits at $22.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCFT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.53, while resistance sits at $22.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$19.68 -
$22.04
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
31th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 31th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.80)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.68 -
$22.04
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.67
(7.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.53
Resistance Level
$22.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.29
Wall Street Target
$22.80
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.1%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 15.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.58
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$20.15
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$19.72
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$20.99
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.1%)
$51.38
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 16.1%)
$32.91
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 16.1%)
$27.98
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$41.78
(+94%)
Analyst growth 81.7%, PE expands to 28.4
Base Case
$37.98
(+76%)
Market implied 81.7%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$14.22
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 15.2
Stabilization Target:
$22.37
(+6.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.4%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:15 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MCFT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Recreational Vehicles Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Recreational Vehicles by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PATK
Patrick Industries Inc |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$118 | 60 HOLD |
|
BC
Brunswick Corporation |
HOLD
19 analysts |
$82 | 44 HOLD |
|
WGO
Winnebago Industries Inc |
BUY
14 analysts |
$49 | 53 HOLD |
|
HOG
Harley-Davidson Inc |
HOLD
16 analysts |
$27 | 53 HOLD |
|
THO
Thor Industries Inc |
SELL
17 analysts |
$113 | 51 HOLD |
Advanced MCFT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MCFT price and gamma walls.
