MDV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MDV - Modiv Industrial, Inc.

Real Estate Investment Trusts
$16.09
0.12 (0.75%) ▲
5d: -0.25%
30d: +9.83%
90d: +5.03%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 3d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MDV is currently trading at $16.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.60 to $15.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 123.8) is in line with its historical norms (113.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MDV is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: MDV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.75 (+10.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $14.60 - $15.99
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with -4.1% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $14.60 - $15.99
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.56
Resistance Level $16.43
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 123.77
Wall Street Target $17.75 (+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -78.5%
Profit Margin 2.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.9% premium
PE vs Historical 123.8 vs 113.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $16.56 (+3%)
2-Year Target $17.04 (+6%)
3-Year Target $17.53 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 124→114) PE COMPRESSION $16.09 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 123.8, Growth: 30.0%) $35.35 (+120%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 30.0%) $5.89 (-63%)
Bear: (PE: 17.5, Growth: 30.0%) $5.01 (-69%)
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Last updated: May 02, 2026 4:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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