META Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
META - Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$716.50
-21.81 (-2.95%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
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57 traders called META this week
90% bullish • 10 bearish
90% bullish • 10 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: META shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: META shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1251.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$777.18
7.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: META is currently trading at $716.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $626.76 to $683.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.9) compared to its historical average (21.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, META is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $600.00, while resistance sits at $744.00.
Market Sentiment: META has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $832.78 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, META is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $600.00, while resistance sits at $744.00.
Market Sentiment: META has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $832.78 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$626.76 -
$683.00
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($832.78)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with 26.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$626.76 -
$683.00
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$600.00
Resistance Level
$744.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.93
Wall Street Target
$832.78
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.6%
Profit Margin
30.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
24.9 vs 21.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$773.01
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$809.34
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$847.38
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$737.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.9, Growth: 29.2%)
$1590.89
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 29.2%)
$1423.26
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 29.2%)
$1209.77
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.61
Bull Case
$970.02
(+31%)
Analyst growth 31.0%, PE expands to 32.7
Base Case
$881.84
(+19%)
Market implied 31.0%, PE stable at 29.8
Bear Case
$457.62
(-38%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 3:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is META showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jennifer Newstead
SELL
519 shares
2025-10-21
Javier Olivan
SELL
517 shares
2025-10-20
Robert M Kimmitt
SELL
465 shares
2025-10-15
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Advanced META Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's META price and gamma walls.
