MFIC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MFIC - MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Common Stock
$11.52
-0.06 (-0.56%)
▼
5d:
+0.04%
30d:
+5.06%
90d:
+3.37%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MFIC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MFIC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.59
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MFIC is currently trading at $11.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.15 to $11.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MFIC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MFIC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.15 -
$11.73
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.12)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with -4.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.15 -
$11.73
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.29
Resistance Level
$11.97
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 29, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.90
Wall Street Target
$11.13
(-3.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
8.9 vs 8.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.89
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$12.21
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$12.54
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.55
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -4.2%)
$23.58
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$10.19
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: -4.2%)
$8.66
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case
$24.05
(+108%)
Analyst growth 91.3%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$21.86
(+89%)
Market implied 91.3%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$7.77
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 12:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MFIC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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