MGRC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGRC - Mcgrath Rentcorp
$110.82
1.06 (0.97%)
▲
5d:
+1.73%
30d:
+0.56%
90d:
+4.29%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MGRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MGRC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$156.69
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.29
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGRC is currently trading at $110.82, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.33 to $112.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $111.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGRC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $144.60 (+31.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGRC is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $111.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGRC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $144.60 (+31.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$105.33 -
$112.27
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.7% below Wall St target ($144.60)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$105.33 -
$112.27
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.96
Resistance Level
$111.71
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.60
Wall Street Target
$144.60
(+31.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.1%
Profit Margin
16.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 16.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$108.11
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$106.49
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$104.89
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$109.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.9%)
$203.12
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 8.9%)
$141.74
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 8.9%)
$120.48
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.35
Bull Case
$129.33
(+19%)
Analyst growth 11.6%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case
$117.57
(+8%)
Market implied 11.6%, PE stable at 16.6
Bear Case
$71.66
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$114.71
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilda Malek
SELL
829 shares
2025-12-15
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