MH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MH - McGraw Hill, Inc.
$12.03
-0.16 (-1.31%)
▼
5d:
+5.34%
30d:
-8.93%
90d:
-8.24%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 11, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MH trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.00
Based on -0.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.69
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MH is currently trading at $12.03, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.34 to $13.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.9) compared to its historical average (8.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.08, while resistance sits at $12.50.
Market Sentiment: MH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.42 (+69.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MH is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.08, while resistance sits at $12.50.
Market Sentiment: MH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.42 (+69.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.34 -
$13.44
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 69.7% below Wall St target ($20.42)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.34 -
$13.44
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.08
Resistance Level
$12.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.86
Wall Street Target
$20.42
(+69.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Profit Margin
-3.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 8.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.40
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$10.81
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$10.25
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$12.11
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: -4.5%)
$33.61
(+179%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: -4.5%)
$10.48
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: -4.5%)
$8.91
(-26%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.9 to 8.1
Stabilization Target:
$14.21
(+18.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 25, 2026 10:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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