MIDD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIDD - Middleby Corp
$147.04
-0.41 (-0.28%)
▼
5d:
-7.07%
30d:
+5.5%
90d:
-10.36%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MIDD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MIDD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$243.13
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$150.97
2.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIDD is currently trading at $147.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $137.56 to $150.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIDD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $136.40, while resistance sits at $166.89.
Market Sentiment: MIDD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $195.25 (+32.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIDD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $136.40, while resistance sits at $166.89.
Market Sentiment: MIDD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $195.25 (+32.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$137.56 -
$150.47
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.8% below Wall St target ($195.25)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$137.56 -
$150.47
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$136.40
Resistance Level
$166.89
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.52
Wall Street Target
$195.25
(+32.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.2%
Profit Margin
-12.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.5 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$142.78
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$138.64
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$134.61
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$147.35
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 13.3%)
$348.45
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.5, Growth: 13.3%)
$213.77
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.5, Growth: 13.3%)
$181.70
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.17
Bull Case
$246.01
(+67%)
Analyst growth 51.7%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$223.64
(+52%)
Market implied 51.7%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$100.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.5 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$160.95
(+9.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:22 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIDD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-02-18
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-02-17
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-02-11
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