MKSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MKSI - MKS Inc. Common Stock
$210.00
-13.18 (-5.91%)
▼
5d:
-10.65%
30d:
-14.1%
90d:
+27.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
MKSI is down 5.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $240 2026-05-15 with 11 OI. Call ratio: 72% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MKSI is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MKSI is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$451.06
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$280.07
25.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MKSI is currently trading at $210.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $219.50 to $247.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (21.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKSI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $210.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: MKSI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $292.08 (+30.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKSI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $210.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: MKSI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $292.08 (+30.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$219.50 -
$247.26
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
22th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MKSI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 22th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.9% below Wall St target ($292.08)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$219.50 -
$247.26
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$20.62
(9.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$210.58
Resistance Level
$247.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.63
Wall Street Target
$292.08
(+30.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 21.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$214.48
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$206.11
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$198.07
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$223.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 21.1%)
$476.78
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 21.1%)
$396.55
(+78%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 21.1%)
$337.07
(+51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $22.68
Bull Case
$283.79
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case
$235.02
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$179.79
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 21.0
Stabilization Target:
$251.56
(+12.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MKSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jacqueline F Moloney
SELL
340 shares
2026-03-12
Eric Robert Taranto
SELL
4568 shares
2026-03-06
Elizabeth Mora
SELL
300 shares
2026-03-02
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Advanced MKSI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MKSI price and gamma walls.
