MKSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MKSI - MKS Inc. Common Stock
$235.96
6.15 (2.68%)
▲
5d:
-3.17%
30d:
+1.46%
90d:
+45.82%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
MKSI is down 5.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $240 2026-05-15 with 11 OI. Call ratio: 72% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MKSI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MKSI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$448.91
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$278.74
15.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MKSI is currently trading at $235.96, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $219.33 to $244.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.7) is in line with its historical norms (20.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKSI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $208.47, while resistance sits at $247.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $292.08 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKSI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $208.47, while resistance sits at $247.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (22th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $292.08 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$219.33 -
$244.42
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
22th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 22th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($292.08)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$219.33 -
$244.42
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$23.17
(9.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$208.47
Resistance Level
$247.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.70
Wall Street Target
$292.08
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Profit Margin
7.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 20.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$231.24
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$226.62
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$222.08
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$235.64
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 21.1%)
$475.71
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 21.1%)
$419.26
(+78%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 21.1%)
$356.37
(+51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $22.68
Bull Case
$283.79
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.9
Base Case
$235.02
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$179.79
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.7 to 20.9
Stabilization Target:
$250.36
(+6.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MKSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jacqueline F Moloney
SELL
340 shares
2026-03-12
Eric Robert Taranto
SELL
4568 shares
2026-03-06
Elizabeth Mora
SELL
300 shares
2026-03-02
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Advanced MKSI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MKSI price and gamma walls.
