MLAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MLAB - Mesa Laboratories Inc
$96.47
-4.03 (-4.01%)
▼
5d:
-7.82%
30d:
-2.31%
90d:
+6.49%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MLAB trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: MLAB trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.90
Based on -11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MLAB is currently trading at $96.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $97.15 to $103.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLAB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $98.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MLAB is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $98.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$97.15 -
$103.88
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($104.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.8% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$97.15 -
$103.88
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.02
Resistance Level
$109.49
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.90
Wall Street Target
$104.50
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.7%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 15.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$102.07
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$107.99
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$114.25
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$96.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -26.7%)
$86.72
(+-10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: -26.7%)
$70.33
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.1, Growth: -26.7%)
$59.33
(-39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 35.21 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.74
Bull Case
$116.49
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.0
Base Case
$96.47
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.2
Bear Case
$73.80
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MLAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Mark Christopher Capone
BUY
1301 shares
2026-03-10
R Tony Tripeny
BUY
1315 shares
2026-03-10
Shiraz Shabanali Ladiwala
BUY
3500 shares
2026-03-10
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