MODG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MODG - Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.
$14.68
0.08 (0.55%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 15, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MODG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MODG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.36
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.92
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MODG is currently trading at $14.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.85 to $14.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.8) is in line with its historical norms (34.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MODG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MODG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.83. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MODG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MODG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.83. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$11.85 -
$14.02
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
Protect Your Profits
MODG is technically overbought (RSI 78). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 12.6% above Wall St target ($12.83)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -7.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.85 -
$14.02
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.30
(8.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.52
Resistance Level
$15.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.80
Wall Street Target
$12.83
(-12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-65.6%
Profit Margin
-37.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
35.8 vs 34.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.86
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$15.03
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$15.21
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→35)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.70
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 31, 2026 4:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MODG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Artie Starrs
SELL
106734 shares
2025-08-12
Erik J Anderson
SELL
25704 shares
2025-08-08
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Advanced MODG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MODG price and gamma walls.