MOV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOV - Movado Group, Inc.
$26.97
-0.50 (-1.82%)
▼
5d:
-3.71%
30d:
-0.41%
90d:
+10.71%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MOV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MOV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.17
10.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOV is currently trading at $26.97, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.78 to $28.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.08, while resistance sits at $28.23.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.75 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.08, while resistance sits at $28.23.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.75 (+14.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$26.78 -
$28.15
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.78 -
$28.15
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.08
Resistance Level
$28.23
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.51
Wall Street Target
$30.75
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
55.7%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.67
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$28.39
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$29.13
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.94
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 34.3%)
$82.26
(+205%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 34.3%)
$65.28
(+142%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 34.3%)
$55.48
(+106%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case
$39.77
(+48%)
Analyst growth 31.6%, PE expands to 25.8
Base Case
$36.16
(+34%)
Market implied 31.6%, PE stable at 23.5
Bear Case
$18.68
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michelle Kennedy
SELL
1290 shares
2025-12-09
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