MPX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MPX - Marine Products Corp.

SHIP & BOAT BUILDING & REPAIRING
$9.66
0.00 (0.00%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 06, 2026 5d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MPX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.68
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.87
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MPX is currently trading at $9.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.01 to $9.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MPX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (6th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $8.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $9.01 - $9.58
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 6th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.4%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 6th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 17.2% above Wall St target ($8.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 6.6% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $9.01 - $9.58
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.51 (5.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.10
Resistance Level $9.75
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.32
Wall Street Target $8.00 (-17.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -27.9%
Profit Margin 5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.3% premium
PE vs Historical 19.3 vs 18.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.88 (+2%)
2-Year Target $10.11 (+5%)
3-Year Target $10.34 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→18) PE COMPRESSION $9.69 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.38
Bull Case $12.42 (+29%)
Analyst growth 31.6%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case $11.29 (+17%)
Market implied 31.6%, PE stable at 22.6
Bear Case $5.83 (-40%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced MPX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MPX price and gamma walls.

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